RVC organized the first open discussion as part of "Club-2035" — a joint project of the International Discussion Club "Valdai" and RVC. The project is launched to discuss the socio-economic and socio-political challenges of the accelerated technological development in Russia and worldwide until 2035.
The first discussion of "Club-2035" had a focus on forecasting the future. The participants stressed the importance of long-term professional forecasting in the face of large-scale technological changes and discussed the public attitude to these changes: how technological innovations are perceived by the population, how forecasts can affect the public consciousness and development of the country.
The discussions about the future do not concern only popularization. Today, in Russia alone 600 + future-forecasting strategies and scenarios have been developed. The intention of this activity in to create a certain culture:
Alexander Auzan, dean of the Economics Faculty of Moscow State University, spoke about the long-term economic strategy until 2035, in the development of which he is directly involved. According to him, the results of the expert poll revealed that the most likely scenario of the future will be the catching-up development while the scenario of Russian economy reaching the growth rate of global economics is deemed by the experts as extremely unlikely. Alexander Auzan clarified that the development strategy should be built as follows: the catching-up model until 2024 with the transition to sustainable development of the European type, and then, on the horizon of 2035, switch-over to the growth model. In implementing this scenario, by 2035 Russia will be able to achieve a level of development comparable to the world's leading economies.
To implement the long-term development strategy of the country's economy, changes will be required not only in the economic, but also in the cultural and political spheres. According to Alexander Auzan, one of the most important factors of the country's innovative development is the increase in the level of interpersonal and institutional trust in the society, as well as the demand for quality human capital. Victor Wahstein, dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences of the Moscow Higher School of Social and Economic Sciences, also presented arguments about the importance of trust in society, producing the results of research on the socio-cultural factors of innovative development. The research was conducted in 2016 by order of the RVC. Its results showed that 6% of the able-bodied population by their characteristics are potential technology entrepreneurs with active economic behavior and great social capital, but this group demonstrates the lowest level of trust in institutions. Therefore, increasing the trust of institutions among the economically active population is a priority of state policy. Nevertheless, the state policy of innovative development in Russia has a strong social base: 48% of survey respondents believe that science and technology are crucial for the development of the country.
Public mind does not always keep pace with technology, and this happens not only in Russia. That is why public behavior with regard to innovation must be influenced, including through the use of forecasts, as pointed out Fedor Lukyanov, director of science at the Valdai Club.
Further events of the Club-2035 will discuss various aspects of how technology affects public consciousness. Thus, on March 15, as part of the Week of Russian Business of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs, a discussion will be held on the theme "The revolution in technology and social stability: responsibility of business and government". All events of the Club-2035 can be accredited through the online portal of the Valdai Club.
The materials of the project can be found in the special section of the Valdai Club's website.
The international discussion club "Valdai" was established in 2004. During its activity it became an internationally recognized platform for interaction of the world's leading experts with Russian scientists, politicians and government officials. Today the Club focuses its activities on research in the field of global politics and economics.
The Russian Venture Company (RVC) is a state development institution, the state’s key instrument in building a national innovation system. During its activity the company has created a wide set of tools aimed at the development of venture capital investment in the country, the creation of educational and methodological services for market participants, increasing the global competitiveness of Russian technology companies.
The Club «2035» is a joint project of the RVC and the Valdai Club, a discussion platform to promote a set of models describing the socio-economic and socio-political consequences following the scenarios of accelerated technological development in Russia and worldwide on the horizon of 2035. The internet-page of the project.
For all questions related to the event and the Club-2035, please call +7 926 930 77 63 (Valdai Club's External Relations Department).